The facts are in folks. Over 1.5 million excess deaths of people UNDER 65 have occurred since the “novel virus” has waned and basically disappeared from ill-effects, and now JAMA Health Forum has published the analysis suggesting these deaths were preventable. What’s the story then? Why did this happen. Let’s take an inside look.
U.S. Excess Deaths Hit Record Highs Post-Pandemic, Shocking Study Reveals
A new study has found that the United States recorded 1.5 million excess deaths in 2022 and 2023—far surpassing pre-pandemic levels—despite the waning of COVID-19. Researchers from Boston University and the University of Minnesota published their findings in JAMA Health Forum, revealing that nearly half of all deaths among Americans under 65 last year could have been prevented if the U.S. matched the health outcomes of peer nations. The study raises urgent questions about systemic failures in American public health.
The analysis compared U.S. mortality data with that of 21 other high-income countries, including Canada, the U.K., and Japan, examining over 337 million deaths from 1980 to 2023. The results were staggering: 820,000 excess deaths in 2022 and 705,000 in 2023—marking the highest non-pandemic excess death totals since World War II. In 2023 alone, 23% of U.S. deaths were classified as "excess," meaning they likely would not have occurred if the nation had maintained average mortality rates of its economic peers.
“The U.S. has been in a protracted health crisis for decades, with health outcomes far worse than other high-income countries,” said Jacob Bor, associate professor at Boston University’s School of Public Health. “One out of every two U.S. deaths under 65 is likely avoidable. Our failure to address this is a national scandal.”
Historical context underscores the severity of the trend. In 1980, the U.S. had 42,000 fewer deaths than expected compared to peer nations. But by 2000, excess deaths surged to 355,000, climbing to 409,000 by 2010. The pandemic exacerbated the crisis, with 1 million excess deaths in 2020 and 1.1 million in 2021. Yet even after COVID-19 receded, mortality rates remained alarmingly high—suggesting deeper, unresolved issues.
Elizabeth Wrigley-Field, a University of Minnesota sociologist and co-author, noted that the 2023 figures align with pre-pandemic trends. “The 700,000 excess American deaths in 2023 is exactly what you’d predict based on prior rising trends, even if there had never been a pandemic,” she said. Contributing factors include drug overdoses, gun violence, traffic fatalities, and preventable chronic diseases like diabetes and heart disease.
The study concludes that achieving health parity with peer nations could have saved 1.5 million lives in the last two years—and 15 million since 1980. As policymakers grapple with these findings, the data presents a sobering challenge: without systemic reforms, the U.S. may continue to lag behind its peers in one of the most fundamental measures of societal well-being—life itself.
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