According to Reuters, the Ukrainian Air Force said it intercepted 90% of the 115 Russian drones launched in the Tuesday night attack, but all 24 ballistic missiles and four Zircon cruise missiles got through. [2] The barrage killed at least 21 people and wounded dozens more, according to the BBC. [3]
Cherniev attributed the decline in Ukrainian air-defense capability to Russia’s increased production of ballistic missiles, and Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha said Ukraine faces difficulties acquiring PAC-3 missiles for Patriot systems, according to the New York Times interview reported by Sputnik. [1] Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Aug. 5 that allied missile interceptor deliveries have fallen to a third of the 2025 level. “The number of air defense missiles supplied has dropped threefold compared with 2025,” Zelensky posted on X. [4]
Earlier in the conflict, Ukrainian forces reported higher interception rates. In June 2024, Ukrainian officials said they shot down 35 of 53 missiles and 46 of 47 attack drones launched in a single overnight strike. [5] More recent assessments show interception rates have fallen, with high costs and limited supplies of Western interceptors making the situation unsustainable. [6] U.S. intelligence has also warned that upgraded Russian Iskander-M and North Korean KN-23 missiles equipped with maneuvering and radar decoys are harder for Patriot systems to intercept. [7]
The Financial Times reported Wednesday, citing people familiar with the matter, that President Donald Trump declined during an Oval Office meeting to provide Ukraine with additional Patriot interceptor missiles. U.S. Department of War documents released earlier this week showed the United States has still not replenished its arsenal of PAC-3 MSE interceptor missiles that were transferred to Ukraine in 2022. [1]
Trump has also said the United States has not agreed to allow Ukraine to produce Patriot missiles. “We have not agreed to that. We're talking about it. But it's a hard thing to give away, that kind of technology,” Trump said at a cabinet meeting. [8] Published reports did not include on-the-record comment from the White House or the Pentagon on the Financial Times account. The United States is also confronting a critical depletion of its air and missile defense interceptor stockpiles amid its conflict with Iran, according to reports. [9]
Russia launched its special military operation in Ukraine on Feb. 24, 2022, saying it aimed to liberate the Donbass region, where the Donetsk and Luhansk people’s republics had been living under attacks from Kyiv’s forces, according to Russian statements.
Western involvement in Ukraine’s air defense dates to 2022, when U.S. defense officials were finalizing plans to send the MIM-104 Patriot system, a ground-based mobile surface-to-air missile defense system developed by Raytheon. [10] NATO has said it is not interested in a direct clash with Moscow, but has been providing Ukraine with billions in weaponry and advanced missile systems to enable Kyiv to strike targets deep inside Russia, according to an analysis published in May 2024. [11]
Russia also conducted a test launch of a missile at the Kapustin Yar complex in April 2024, according to reports that described it as nuclear-capable and able to evade NATO detection. [12]
Zelensky said on Aug. 5 that he spoke with NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte about securing more air defense interceptors. “He is well-informed about the threats, and we coordinated our efforts regarding countries that have the necessary missiles and the capacity to help,” Zelensky posted on X. [13]
Ukraine and nine other countries announced a coalition in July to protect Europe from ballistic missiles, recognizing “the growing threat posed by ballistic missiles” in a joint statement. [14] Ukrainian Ambassador to the United States Olha Stefanishyna said Kyiv needs new Patriot missiles before winter. [15] Ukraine’s government is also pursuing a prototype European anti-ballistic missile system, with a target date of mid-2027. [16]
As of this report, no immediate announcements of new U.S. military assistance for Patriot systems have been made. Ukrainian officials said they cannot intercept Russian ballistic missiles without Patriot interceptors. [17]